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The rise and fall of the trans movement

The rise and fall of the trans movement

Part 2/ Nemesis

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Nick Cohen
Jun 29, 2025
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Writing from London
Writing from London
The rise and fall of the trans movement
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woman in gold and black long sleeve dress
Photo by Norbu GYACHUNG on Unsplash

(This is the second of a two-part series. The first on how authoritarianism has undermined the trans cause is available here.)


Visitors to this summer’s Edinburgh International Book Festival could be forgiven for thinking that they had entered a dictatorship. For in a genteel and discreet manner – this is Edinburgh, after all – the festival organisers imposed the controls of a one-party state.

As Alex Massie of the Times said, they are fine progressive people who are “forever deploring the culture wars while actively participating in them”.

The festival organisers invited trans activists and their allies to speak – as they were perfectly entitled to do. But then they banned gender-critical feminists.

Scottish women brought the case to the UK Supreme Court, which resulted in the unanimous ruling that the legal definition of a woman only covers biological women.

J.K. Rowling, who has had a few words to say on this subject, lives in Edinburgh. But the festival did not give the world’s most acclaimed author a slot, even though she’s only round the corner. Meanwhile, Scottish writers, most notably Jenny Lindsay, have been at the forefront of documenting how dissenting gender-critical voices have been crushed. As if to prove her point, the festival did not invite Lindsay or her friends to speak either.

Instead of allowing free debate, one of the world’s leading literary festivals welcomed an arts bureaucrat, who warned bookshops not to stock Lindsay’s work.

If you are shocked to find a literary festival promoting censors, or surprised that it picks a side, which in Massie’s words, “misrepresents the law, believes in literally impossible things, and is overly fond of wishing lurid acts of sexual violence upon those women who dare to point out legal and biological truths,” then you have not been paying attention.

Activists once made the protection of people with genuine gender dysphoria their primary concern. In Transgender Rights vs Women’s Rights, just out from Polity Books, Robert Wintemute, Professor of Human Rights at Kings College, London, argues for a return to this narrowly focused aim.

The law should be concerned with defending trans people as trans people, he says. Not least because there is a long and honourable legal tradition of doing just that.

In 2002 the European Court of Justice ruled that a Cornish employee who was dismissed after undergoing gender reassignment surgery should be reinstated. The judges produced the first caselaw anywhere in the world that prevented discrimination in employment or vocational education because someone is transsexual.

Twenty years on, you don’t need to be a cultural bureaucrat to understand why Prof Wintemute has as much chance of being invited to the Edinburgh Festival as Jo Rowling. The very title of his book announces his heretical belief that there is a conflict between trans and women’s rights, when every right-thinking, left-leaning person knows that such a conflict is meant to be impossible.

Since the early 2000s the LGBT+ movement has moved far beyond campaigning for the tiny numbers of people with actual gender dysphoria.

It has developed imperial ambitions. Its new ideology allows anyone to be trans. You don’t need to take gender-affirming hormone therapy that will allow biological men to grow breasts and women to grow beards. You do not need to ask surgeons to sterilise you.

A man can be a woman simply by saying so. That’s all there is to it. No one can determine a person’s gender identity except that person – it is an entirely subjective process.

Before going on to show why the new ideology is now failing, I should accept that as a Richard Dawkins meme it was brilliantly adapted to survive and replicate in modern culture.

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